Operário MS vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
URO
2 - 2
OPE
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 1
ANA
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ANA
0 - 1
OPE
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
OPE
0 - 2
URO
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
OPE
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
PAT
0 - 1
ANA
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 0
URO
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
URO
3 - 2
PAT
35%
26%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ANA
1 - 1
PAT
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
OPE
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |