Copa Verde Last 16
Global 1-2
Operário MS vs Luziânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
OPE
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OPE
3 - 1
COM
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
OPE
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 3
OPE
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
OPE
4 - 0
ABC
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
SOB
2 - 2
LUZ
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
LUZ
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 3
CEI
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 0
TAG
8%
15%
78%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
DOM
0 - 0
LUZ
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |