Operário Ltda vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário Ltda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LTD
0 - 2
GOI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
APA
1 - 2
LTD
44%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
SIN
0 - 1
LTD
32%
24%
45%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LTD
4 - 0
LUV
22%
21%
56%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
URO
1 - 1
LTD
41%
23%
36%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
AGU
2 - 2
REA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
REA
2 - 1
GOI
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
AQU
1 - 3
REA
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
REA
3 - 1
AQU
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 3
REA
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |