Matogrossense Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 5-5
Operário Ltda vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário Ltda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 3
LTD
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
LTD
0 - 0
CRI
12%
23%
65%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LTD
1 - 0
ACA
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AAC
1 - 2
LTD
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
LTD
1 - 2
NME
47%
24%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 3
LTD
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 1
MIX
15%
18%
67%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
DBO
2 - 2
MIX
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MIX
1 - 3
URO
16%
23%
61%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AAC
1 - 2
MIX
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |