Operário Ltda vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
53.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário Ltda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CEI
3 - 0
LTD
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LTD
0 - 0
ANA
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
IPO
0 - 1
LTD
59%
25%
16%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
LTD
1 - 2
SAM
8%
15%
77%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ACA
2 - 3
LTD
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 2
BRA
18%
24%
57%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
IPO
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 0
BRA
91%
7%
2%
|
57 | 90 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 2
BRA
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |