NK Opatija vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
2º
34
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 44 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 44 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 37 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 32 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 31 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 27 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 26 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 25 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 22 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 21 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
31.5% | 68.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Opatija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
NKJ
0 - 1
OPA
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
OPA
5 - 0
BIJ
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 2
OPA
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
OPA
2 - 1
ZMI
55%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
OPA
0 - 0
DUB
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
VUK
1 - 0
DUB
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 0
VUK
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VUK
5 - 0
NKD
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 3
VUK
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VUK
1 - 0
NKR
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |