Ontinyent CF vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ONT
1 - 0
SAB
42%
27%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ONT
2 - 1
BAD
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
IBI
1 - 0
ONT
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ONT
1 - 0
ALC
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FCB
1 - 1
ONT
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 0
UBC
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
UBC
1 - 0
CDT
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UBC
2 - 2
LUC
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PUE
3 - 0
UBC
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
UBC
0 - 2
AGD
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |