Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Ontinyent CF vs San Fernando CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ONT
0 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
ONT
31%
27%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ONT
5 - 0
RIB
64%
22%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 0
ONT
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
PAT
0 - 0
ONT
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Fernando CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
LAP
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ECI
2 - 3
SAN
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
CDG
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 4
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
CON
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |