Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-4
Ontinyent CF vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
ONT
0 - 0
MLL
30%
31%
39%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
RAY
0 - 0
ONT
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
ONT
1 - 1
RCF
33%
30%
38%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1971 |
RAY
2 - 0
ONT
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
RAC
3 - 0
ONT
53%
25%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
PON
2 - 1
RAY
50%
29%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
RAY
0 - 0
ONT
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
UPL
0 - 0
RAY
27%
32%
41%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1971 |
RAY
2 - 0
ONT
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
RAY
3 - 0
CAS
59%
26%
15%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |