Ontinyent CF vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 3
ONT
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ONT
2 - 0
VIL
45%
27%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALZ
1 - 2
ONT
36%
25%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ONT
0 - 1
SAG
37%
28%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 1
ONT
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
ACE
65%
21%
15%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
JOV
0 - 0
NOV
24%
25%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 0
RAY
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
REC
0 - 2
NOV
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAT
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |