Ontinyent CF vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1998 |
ONT
1 - 1
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
TER
4 - 2
ONT
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
ONT
2 - 1
PPJ
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
GAV
3 - 1
ONT
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
ONT
2 - 2
GIM
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1998 |
GAN
2 - 1
NOV
58%
25%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
NOV
1 - 2
VAL
43%
28%
29%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
GRA
4 - 0
NOV
57%
25%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
NOV
1 - 2
TER
29%
28%
43%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
GAL
0 - 2
NOV
44%
28%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |