Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-4
Ontinyent CF vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
FIG
4 - 1
ONT
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
ONT
0 - 1
PIN
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
NOV
1 - 2
ONT
36%
29%
35%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
ONT
5 - 1
ALM
74%
18%
9%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 2
ONT
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
HER
0 - 0
RAY
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
HER
3 - 2
ATH
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
VAD
1 - 0
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
HER
2 - 1
FCB
14%
21%
66%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
SPO
2 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |