Tercera Playoffs Final
Global 3-3
Ontinyent CF vs Deportivo Alavés B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 2
ONT
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ONT
1 - 2
ARC
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
TER
0 - 1
ONT
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ONT
1 - 1
TER
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ONT
2 - 1
RAY
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ALA
0 - 1
CAT
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ALA
0 - 1
SDF
30%
24%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SDF
2 - 0
ALA
56%
24%
20%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ALA
4 - 0
BAS
69%
19%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |