Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-0
Ontinyent CF vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ONT
1 - 3
ALM
50%
30%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
SEV
0 - 0
ONT
53%
29%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
ONT
0 - 0
LLE
54%
28%
18%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
YEC
0 - 0
ONT
59%
26%
15%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
ONT
1 - 2
ELD
58%
27%
15%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
PEG
4 - 0
CAU
71%
21%
9%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CAU
3 - 0
COM
54%
28%
18%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
CDO
2 - 1
CAU
75%
18%
7%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
CAU
3 - 0
RCF
53%
29%
18%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
GIM
1 - 0
CAU
53%
29%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |