Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
Ontinyent CF vs CD Acero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ONT
3 - 0
POR
45%
32%
23%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
LLE
5 - 1
ONT
71%
20%
9%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
ACE
3 - 0
ONT
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -3 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ONT
0 - 0
GIM
65%
24%
11%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
CDB
1 - 2
ONT
59%
25%
16%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ACE
2 - 1
EUR
64%
22%
14%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
LCA
3 - 0
ACE
47%
27%
26%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
ACE
3 - 0
ONT
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +5 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ACE
1 - 2
CDM
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
HOS
0 - 1
ACE
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |