Ontinyent 1931 vs Patacona CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
17º
11º
18
8º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 62 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 54 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 50 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 45 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 34 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 31 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 47% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ontinyent 1931
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NUC
1 - 1
ONT
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ONT
2 - 1
RAY
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
ONT
2 - 0
CAL
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ONT
0 - 1
SON
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
5 - 2
ONT
48%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Patacona CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PCF
1 - 3
LEV
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 0
PCF
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ROD
5 - 3
PCF
62%
21%
18%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PCF
3 - 2
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
NUC
3 - 0
PCF
66%
19%
14%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |