Onsala vs Ljungskile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
14º
16º
16º
26
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 65 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 44 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 40 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 39 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 38 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 36 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 33 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 32 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 28% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 54.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Onsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 1
OBK
61%
21%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
OBK
0 - 5
AFC
42%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OBK
4 - 1
SAV
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OBK
6 - 0
STA
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 1
OBK
87%
10%
4%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ljungskile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LJU
0 - 4
LBK
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
OSK
2 - 1
LJU
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LJU
1 - 1
GRE
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 0
LJU
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LJU
1 - 0
AIF
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |