Onsala vs Ariana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
14º
16º
16º
29
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 65 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 44 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 39 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 38 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 38 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 36 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 33 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 33 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 28% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Onsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OBK
4 - 1
SAV
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OBK
6 - 0
STA
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 1
OBK
87%
10%
4%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 1
OBK
14%
17%
69%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OBK
1 - 0
HIT
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 3
AFC
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 1
AFC
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 3
TRE
11%
15%
74%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
AFC
66%
19%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
LJU
38%
25%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |