Onet Le Château vs Stade Bordelais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
8º
13º
13º
6
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 45 |
1º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 39 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 39 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 37 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 37 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 34 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 34 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 33 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 31 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 20 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
43.5% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Onet Le Château
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 1
ONE
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ONE
1 - 1
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 2
ONE
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SEP
1 - 4
ONE
15%
18%
68%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ONE
1 - 2
CAS
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Stade Bordelais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
CRF
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 1
STA
28%
23%
50%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GDB
0 - 3
STA
33%
24%
44%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
STA
24%
20%
56%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
STA
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |