Onet Le Château vs Montpellier II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
11º
9º
39
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
18% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Onet Le Château
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 4
ONE
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ONE
0 - 1
CAS
30%
23%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 1
ONE
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ONE
3 - 2
FCA
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TOU
2 - 1
ONE
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Montpellier II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MON
6 - 0
AGD
54%
22%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BEZ
0 - 0
MON
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
COL
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
SAM
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |