Onet Le Château vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
11º
9º
28
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
18% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Onet Le Château
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
USJ
3 - 1
ONE
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
ONE
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FCA
7 - 2
ONE
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AGD
0 - 0
ONE
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ONE
3 - 7
BEZ
9%
18%
72%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 4
AGD
28%
26%
46%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
SAM
35%
25%
41%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
BAL
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
ROD
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |