Onehunga Mangere vs Matamata Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Onehunga Mangere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ONE
1 - 4
NGA
77%
14%
10%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ONE
4 - 0
TAW
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CMB
2 - 1
ONE
8%
13%
79%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ONE
3 - 4
MAP
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
ONE
5 - 3
TAK
56%
21%
24%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Matamata Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
PUK
1 - 2
MSA
42%
22%
37%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MSA
0 - 2
PAP
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
CEN
8 - 0
MSA
87%
10%
3%
|
8 | 56 | 48 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
WHU
2 - 0
MSA
71%
16%
13%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
MSA
2 - 1
HNK
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |