One Knoxville vs Tormenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
6º
18
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 45 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 38 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 37 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 23 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
11º
|
46% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 17 |
12º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 40.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 59.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
One Knoxville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OKS
2 - 0
LSC
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 2
OKS
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
OKS
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
OKS
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OKS
2 - 2
RIC
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tormenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 3
TOR
28%
25%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACS
83%
12%
6%
|
54 | 7 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
FMA
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
CVF
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |