One Knoxville vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
6º
17
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 45 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 38 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 37 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 23 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
11º
|
46% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 17 |
12º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
One Knoxville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
0 - 2
OKS
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
OKS
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
OKS
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OKS
2 - 2
RIC
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
OKS
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
VGF
4 - 3
LSC
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LSC
1 - 0
CRW
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +4 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LSC
0 - 0
NCO
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
GTR
1 - 1
LSC
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LSC
0 - 1
CAR
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |