One Knoxville vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.7%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
13.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
5.6%
1.6%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
9º
8º
32
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
One Knoxville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 2
OKS
78%
13%
9%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
OKS
1 - 2
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
OKS
2 - 0
WVA
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
OKS
4 - 2
TEU
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
OKS
0 - 1
EAT
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -1 |