One Knoxville vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
9º
8º
63
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
One Knoxville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
RIC
2 - 2
OKS
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
OMA
1 - 1
OKS
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
OKS
2 - 0
CHA
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NCO
0 - 0
OKS
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
OKS
0 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
CHA
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
LSC
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FMA
3 - 0
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
OKS
0 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAR
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |