Once Deportivo vs CD Fuerte San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
8º
6º
15
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 1
ONC
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ONC
2 - 3
FIR
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 2
ONC
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
ONC
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 0
CDC
63%
24%
13%
|
69 | 26 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 2
AGU
25%
28%
46%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 2
FIR
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 0
FUE
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
CDC
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
4 - 0
FUE
67%
21%
12%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |