Once Deportivo vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
10º
37
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 0
ONC
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
27%
28%
46%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
JOC
0 - 1
ONC
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ONC
2 - 0
MET
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 1
ONC
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FIR
2 - 1
CDP
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
FIR
2 - 3
CDD
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
FIR
3 - 0
SAN
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FUE
3 - 1
FIR
13%
21%
67%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 1
FIR
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |