Once Deportivo vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
8º
3º
23
6º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
ONC
34%
28%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
ONC
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ONC
0 - 0
FIR
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
ONC
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 3
CDP
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
MET
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
CDD
3 - 1
ATL
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALI
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |