Once Deportivo vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
10º
32
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
JOC
0 - 1
ONC
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ONC
2 - 0
MET
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 1
ONC
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
ONC
2 - 1
MUN
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 0
FUE
80%
14%
5%
|
60 | 6 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
CDP
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 3
ALI
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
FIR
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ALI
5 - 3
FAS
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +2 |