Once Deportivo vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
53%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
8º
3º
37
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
ONC
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ONC
0 - 0
FIR
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
ONC
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 0
ONC
36%
29%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ONC
0 - 0
FAS
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
AGU
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALI
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
5 - 2
JOC
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
CDP
53%
25%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |