Once Deportivo vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FAS
1 - 0
ONC
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FIR
4 - 2
ONC
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
MET
5 - 0
ONC
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 2
SAN
37%
29%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 0
ONC
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
UES
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
FIR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 2
FAS
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |