Once Deportivo vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FAS
4 - 1
ONC
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ONC
0 - 0
UES
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
ONC
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUV
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 1
ONC
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
ALI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
FIR
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
3 - 2
FAS
47%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
UES
0 - 3
ALI
19%
25%
57%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |