Once Caldas vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
ONC
2 - 3
BUC
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
FLA
4 - 1
ONC
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2002 |
OLI
3 - 2
ONC
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
ONC
1 - 2
QUI
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
PER
1 - 1
ONC
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
SWA
1 - 1
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
UCO
0 - 1
OLI
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2002 |
CON
1 - 2
UCO
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 3
UCO
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |