Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Once Caldas vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
ONC
1 - 0
CHI
70%
18%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
ONC
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
IND
4 - 0
ONC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 3
NAC
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
ONC
1 - 1
BSC
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 4
PAL
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
ONC
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
42%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIG
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
JUV
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |