Clausura Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Once Caldas vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 0
AME
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
ONC
32%
25%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
IND
3 - 4
ONC
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 0
AGU
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ONC
5 - 0
CUC
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
AGU
0 - 1
SFE
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SFE
3 - 2
AGU
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
SFE
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
SFE
58%
23%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |