Once Caldas vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2009 |
ONC
3 - 0
LEO
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
ONC
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
ONC
3 - 0
CAR
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
ONC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ONC
1 - 1
PAS
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 1
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 1
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
CUC
2 - 1
SFE
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 1
MIL
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 0
SFE
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |