Once Caldas vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
ONC
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 2
ONC
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
0 - 3
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
2 - 0
CAL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAR
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
CUC
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HUI
3 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 2
JUN
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 2
CUC
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -2 |