Once Caldas vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ONC
1 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MIL
5 - 2
ONC
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 3
ONC
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
PAS
2 - 1
ONC
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ONC
1 - 1
CAL
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 3
MIL
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 3
PAT
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
PAT
2 - 0
JAG
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
EQU
1 - 0
PAT
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 0
PER
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |