Once Caldas vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 1
ONC
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
ONC
2 - 1
PAS
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
ONC
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 3
QUI
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 1
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 3
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
EQU
2 - 1
PAT
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
HUI
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
CHI
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 1
PAT
68%
20%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |