Once Caldas vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
ONC
2 - 1
HUI
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
ENV
0 - 0
ONC
32%
30%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ONC
2 - 1
MIL
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
ONC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 2
LEO
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 0
CUC
43%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 1
ENV
30%
26%
45%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
REA
0 - 1
LEO
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
LEO
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |