Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 0-4
Once Caldas vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
LDA
0 - 1
ONC
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2017 |
COR
1 - 1
ONC
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ONC
2 - 3
PAS
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
ONC
2 - 2
LEO
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ONC
2 - 1
HUI
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 1
JUN
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
PAS
1 - 2
JUN
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 0
TOL
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 2
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
JUN
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |