Once Caldas vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 2
ONC
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
ONC
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ONC
3 - 2
ENV
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
PER
2 - 3
ONC
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
ONC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 2
CUC
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
HUI
2 - 3
JUN
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 0
AGU
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 0
MIL
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
4 - 1
JUN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |