Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
ONC
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
63%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 2
ONC
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 0
ONC
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
ONC
3 - 1
PAT
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
AGU
28%
29%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
AGU
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
NAC
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |