Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 3
ONC
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
SNL
1 - 1
ONC
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
3 - 2
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
ONC
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
AGU
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 1
EQU
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
AGU
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 2
AGU
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |