Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
ONC
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 2
JAG
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 2
ONC
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ONC
4 - 2
CHI
64%
23%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SFE
2 - 0
ONC
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
IND
2 - 2
ALI
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
IND
19%
26%
55%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
AME
1 - 2
IND
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
IND
2 - 2
PAS
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |