Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 2
HUI
63%
20%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SFE
0 - 1
ONC
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
ONC
0 - 1
SFE
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 1
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
SFE
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 2
IND
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |