Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 0
ONC
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ONC
3 - 1
FOR
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MIL
3 - 1
ONC
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
ONC
3 - 1
PAS
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 0
ONC
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
IND
2 - 0
PAS
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
JUN
3 - 2
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
CAL
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
IND
33%
29%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |