Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 1
TOL
54%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CUC
4 - 1
ONC
20%
25%
56%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
ONC
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
PAS
4 - 0
ONC
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
ONC
5 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
IND
0 - 3
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 3
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IND
0 - 0
HUI
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 1
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
IND
2 - 0
PAT
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |