Copa Colombia 1/32
Global 1-3
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 0
ONC
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 1
SFE
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
ONC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
ONC
47%
26%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ONC
2 - 1
TOL
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
BUC
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
EQU
0 - 0
FOR
40%
29%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
ONC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
ONC
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |